Wednesday, December 4, 2013

Early Oscar Nomination Predictions Because Why Not?

Best Picture:  
  • 12 Years a Slave   
  • Gravity 
  • Captain Phillips 
  • Saving Mr. Banks 
  • The Wolf of Wall Street 
  • Nebraska 
  • Lee Daniels’ The Butler 
  • Inside Llewyn Davis American Hustle
  • Her 
  • Fruitvale Station
Alternates: Inside Llewyn Davis, August: Osage County, Blue Jasmine
Sleepers: Before Midnight, Philomena
Dark Horse: The Place Beyond the Pines Frozen

Best Director
  • Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave 
  • Alfonso Cuaron – Gravity 
  • Joel and Ethan Coen– Inside Llewyn Davis  David O Russell - American Hustle
  • Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street 
  • Paul Greengrass – Captain Phillips
Alternate: David O Russell – American Hustle Joel and Ethan Coen– Inside Llewyn Davis
Sleeper: Spike Jonze: Her
Dark Horse: Ryan Coogler – Fruitvale Station

Best Actress
  • Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine  
    • The nomination’s been a lock since the film’s release.
  • Emma Thompson – Saving Mr. Banks 
    • Banks has gotten pretty much no traction, but Thompson should still be safe.
  • Sandra Bullock – Gravity 
    • Gets all the screen time, and the academy does like to see it's nominees suffer on screen. 
  • Judi Dench – Philomena 
    • It's Judi Dench. She doesn't need any "traction" to get nominated.
  • Meryl Streep – August: Osage County
    • When it comes to predicting Oscar nominations, always bet on Streep.
                Alternate: Julie Delpy – Before Midnight
                Sleeper: Adèle Exarchopoulos – Blue is the Warmest Color
                Dark Horse: Brie Larson – Short Term 12

Best Actor
  • Chiwetel Ejifor – 12 Years a Slave 
    • Perennially underrated actor who goes through tons of suffering. 
  • Robert Redford – All is Lost 
    • Well respected actor in a one man survival story. Still,surprisingly little momentum right now.
  • Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club 
    • Physical transformation. Playing a real person. Playing a real person who gets AIDS. 
  • Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips 
    • The final scene of the movie should lock up another nomination for Hanks.
  • Bruce Dern – Nebraska
    • Super well respected actor. 
Alternate: Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street
Sleeper: Joaquin Phoenix - Her
Dark Horse: Michael B. Jordan - Fruitvale Station

Best Supporting Actor
  • Michael Fassbander – 12 Years a Slave 
    • Get’s to be multiple kinds of evil. Academy loves villains in this category. 
  • Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club 
    • Playing a real person. Physical transformation.
  • Barkhad Abdi– Captain Phillips 
    • Pretty much the co-lead of the movie. Really strong performance, too. 
  • Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street 
    • The buzz is really strong here. Still, too many people seem to dislike the movie...
  • Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks Bradley Cooper - American Hustle
    • Academy may want to avoid a double nomination. But, it is Tom Hanks as Walt Disney…+600 bonus points
    • Hustle has all the momentum right now, so Cooper gets swept up in the tide.
                Alternate: Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
                Sleeper: Will Forte – Nebraska Daniel Bruhl - Rush
                Dark Horse: David Oyelowo – Lee Daniels’ The Butler

Best Supporting Actress
  • Oprah Winfrey – Lee Daniels’ The Butler 
    • It’s freaking Oprah. Or so I thought earlier. She's not a lock.
  • Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years a Slave 
    • Academy uses this category to reward unknown actors. Gets the most tragic character.
  • Julia Roberts – August: Osage County 
    • Just a hunch here that Roberts’ star power will lead to a nomination. Very shaky ground right now.
  • Jennifer Lawrence – American Hustle 
    • Jennifer Lawrence is unstoppable (and apparently the best thing about the movie) The only sure thing.
  • Octavia Spencer – Fruitvale Station
    • I feel the Academy’s going to want to give at least one acting nomination to the movie. 
Alternate: June Squib – Nebraska
Sleeper: Sally Hawkins – Blue Jasmine
Dark Horse: Shailene Woodly – The Spectacular Now

Best Adapted Screenplay
  • 12 Years a Slave 
  • Before Midnight 
  • August: Osage County 
  • The Wolf of Wall Street 
  • Captain Phillips
            Alternate: Philomena
            Sleeper: Labor Day
            Dark Horse: Ummm…Catching Fire maybe? Surprisingly few choices this year.

Best Original Screenplay
  •           Blue Jasmine 
  •          Nebraska 
  •           Her 
  •           Inside Llewyn Davis 
  •           Saving Mr. Banks American Hustle
Alternate: American Hustle Saving Mr. Banks
Sleeper: Gravity
Dark Horse: Lee Daniels’ The Butler

Best Animated Film
  •           Frozen 
  •           Monster’s University 
  •           The Wind Rises 
  •           Ernest & Celestine 
  •           Despicable Me 2
                Alternate: O Apostle
                Dark Horse/Sleeper: The Croods? (Pretty thin crop of movies this year)

 Best Film Editing
  •           Gravity 
  •           12 Years a Slave 
  •           Captain Phillips 
  •           The Wolf of Wall Street 
  •           American Hustle
                Alternate: All is Lost
                Sleeper: Rush
                Dark Horse: The World’s End Frances Ha

Best Production Design
  •           The Great Gatsby 
  •           The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug 
  •           Saving Mr. Banks 
  •           12 Years a Slave 
  •           Inside Llewyn Davis
                Alternate: Gravity
                Sleeper: The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
                Dark Horse: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

Best Cinematography
  •           Gravity 
  •           12 Years a Slave 
  •           Prisoners 
  •           Captain Phillips 
  •           The Great Gatsby
           Alternate: Inside Llewyn Davis
           Sleeper: Nebraska
           Dark Horse: Ain’t Them Bodies Saints

Best Costume Design
  •           The Great Gatsby 
  •           American Hustle 
  •           12 Years a Slave 
  •           The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug 
  •           Saving Mr. Banks
Alternate: Lee Daniels’ The Butler
Sleeper: Oz the Great and Powerful
Dark Horse: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  •           Lee Daniels’ The Butler  American Hustle
  •           Rush The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
  •           The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug Bad Grandpa
Alternate: Dallas Buyer’s Club
Sleeper: 12 Years a Slave The Great Gatsby
Dark Horse: Oz the Great and Powerful The Lone Ranger

Best Visual Effects
  •           Gravity 
  •           Pacific Rim 
  •           The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug 
  •           Iron Man 3 
  •           Man of Steel Elysium
                Alternate: The Great Gatsby Star Trek Into Darkness
                Sleeper: Star Trek Into Darkness Oblivion
                Dark Horse: Oblivion Thor: The Dark World

Best Sound Mixing
  •           Captain Phillips 
  •           Gravity 
  •           Rush 
  •           The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug 
  •           All is Lost
                Alternates: 12 Years a Slave
                Sleeper: Lone Survivor
                Dark Horse: Pacific Rim

Best Sound Editing
  •          Captain Phillips 
  •          Gravity 
  •          Lone Survivor 
  •          Rush 
  •          The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Alternates: All is Lost
Sleeper: Pacific Rim
Dark Horse: Man of Steel

Best Original Score
  •           The Book Thief – John Williams 
  •           Gravity – Steven Price 
  •           12 Years a Slave – Hans Zimmer 
  •           Philomena – Alexandre Desplat 
  •           Saving Mr. Banks – Thomas Newman
Alternate: The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug – Howard Shore All is Lost - Alex Ebert
Sleeper: Frozen – Christophe Beck Her - William Butler and Owen Pallett
Dark Horse – Romeo and Juliet – Abel Korzeniowski

Best Original Song
  •           “Let it Go” – Frozen 
  •           “Young and Beautiful” – The Great Gatsby 
  •           “In the Middle of the Night” – Lee Daniels’ The Butler 
  •           “The Moon Song” – Her 
  •           “Amen” – All is Lost "Please Mr. Kennedy" - Inside Llewyn Davis
    “Amen” – All is Lost
Alternate: “For the First Time in Forever” – Frozen “I See Fire” – The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Sleeper: “I See Fire” – The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
"So You Know What It's Like" - Short Term 12
Dark Horse: “My Lord Sunshine (Sunrise)” – 12 Years a Slave

No comments:

Post a Comment